Daily Market Update: October 31, 2024

October 31, 2024

BTC is currently trading around $70,000 and ETH around $2,500.  Notable gainers in the last 24 hours are KLAY, RAY, and KAS. The global crypto market cap is $2.46T, down 2.9% over the last day.  DeFi Total Value Locked is ~$89b and BTC dominance is around 60%.

Crypto prices are lower on disappointing big tech earnings that saw Microsoft and Meta post poor forward guidance.  In addition, attention is being given to Trump’s falling odds on Polymarket, which now give him a 62% chance to win the US election next week, down from 67% just yesterday. On the economic front, The Bank of Japan held interest rates steady, as expected, and roughly maintained its inflation forecast.  While Governor Ueda stated “we have no present idea” regarding the timing of the next rate hike, his comments were generally perceived as more hawkish than previous statements and leave the door open for a potential hike at the Bank’s December 18-19 meeting.  Elsewhere, China’s manufacturing activity ticked slightly higher in October, but importantly expanded for the first time in six months, while eurozone inflation came in slightly higher than expected and US PCE inflation was mixed.

Notable news includes: Singapore’s MAS established the Global Finance and Technology Network in continued efforts to position Singapore as a global fintech innovation hub; Taiwan will implement a crypto exchange registration system by next month; Asia surpassed North America as having the highest number of crypto developers, per Electric Capital; The Blockchain Association revealed that member firms have spent over $400m on costs associated with SEC enforcement actions; a US Treasury report found that stablecoins boost demand for US Treasuries but also cited risks; RWA protocol Superstate introduced real-time continuous pricing for its USTB tokenized Treasuries fund; Securitize crossed $1b in tokenized assets and launched a new fund administration service; Wellington Management partnered with Ondo for a forthcoming tokenized Treasury fund; the CFO of Florida penned a letter suggesting the US state should direct a portion of state retirement system monies into crypto; the spot Bitcoin ETFs brought in nearly $900m yesterday and now hold over 1m BTC; MicroStrategy unveiled plans to raise $42b to buy more Bitcoin over the next three years; Reddit sold its small crypto holdings during 3Q; crypto.com acquired SEC-registered broker-dealer Watchdog Capital to offer stock and options trading; UK crypto exchange and custodian Archax announced the acquisition of Spanish broker KSCM; crypto lender Nexo rebranded as a digital asset wealth platform; Riot revealed substantial interest from blue chip companies looking to partner with the Bitcoin miner on high performance computing initiatives; Pudgy Penguins announced a forthcoming release of its Pudgy Party mobile game; Base announced that permissionless fault proofs are live on mainnet; Ethereum L2 Starknet reached a peak of 857 TPS on Starknet Mainnet; Ethereum L2 Zircuit airdropped its ZRC token to EIGEN holders; Trump’s defi project World Liberty cut its token sale target from $300m to $30m amidst low demand; and, journalists gathered in London for a supposed reveal of the real Satoshi, though the man claiming to be Satoshi, Stephen Mollah, couldn’t get his laptop to work to prove it.

Sign up to conveniently receive GSR crypto content in your inbox.

Author:
Brian Rudick, Head of Research | TwitterTelegramLinkedIn
Carlos Guzman, Research Analyst | TwitterTelegramLinkedIn
Toe Bautista, Research Analyst | TwitterTelegramLinkedIn

This material is provided by GSR (the “Firm”) solely for informational purposes, is intended only for sophisticated, institutional investors and does not constitute an offer or commitment, a solicitation of an offer or commitment, or any advice or recommendation, to enter into or conclude any transaction (whether on the terms shown or otherwise), or to provide investment services in any state or country where such an offer or solicitation or provision would be illegal. The Firm is not and does not act as an advisor or fiduciary in providing this material.  GSR is not authorised or regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority.  The protections provided by the UK regulatory system will not be available to you. Specifically, information provided herein is intended for institutional persons only and is not suitable for retail persons in the United Kingdom, and no solicitation or recommendation is being made to you in regards to any products or services. 

This material is not a research report, and not subject to any of the independence and disclosure standards applicable to research reports prepared pursuant to FINRA or CFTC research rules. This material is not independent of the Firm’s proprietary interests, which may conflict with the interests of any counterparty of the Firm. The Firm trades instruments discussed in this material for its own account, may trade contrary to the views expressed in this material, and may have positions in other related instruments.

Information contained herein is based on sources considered to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. Any opinions or estimates expressed herein reflect a judgment made by the author(s) as of the date of publication, and are subject to change without notice. Trading and investing in digital assets involves significant risks including price volatility and illiquidity and may not be suitable for all investors. The Firm is not liable whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this material. Copyright of this material belongs to GSR. Neither this material nor any copy thereof may be taken, reproduced or redistributed, directly or indirectly, without prior written permission of GSR.